Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 13.228154 15.150673 17.202070 19.547983 22.150353 24.942611 28.158938
2025-10-12 10.648926 13.263932 16.242429 19.863249 24.121788 28.946626 34.800450
2025-10-19 8.972435 11.925456 15.460741 19.958782 25.479312 31.981513 40.162286
2025-10-26 7.494730 10.557250 14.388743 19.460258 25.914782 33.768502 43.950729
2025-11-02 6.403147 9.510220 13.555024 19.099974 26.384385 35.499746 47.623188
2025-11-09 5.510683 8.605259 12.786552 18.707076 26.712470 36.985388 50.961865
2025-11-16 4.790565 7.847062 12.124735 18.367051 27.034437 38.414385 54.216564
2025-11-23 4.121061 7.080763 11.369748 17.815538 26.997453 39.319315 56.763412
2025-11-30 3.731265 6.687793 11.104991 17.914803 27.830140 41.385102 60.889493
2025-12-07 3.382402 6.318061 10.835737 17.972508 28.582018 43.340825 64.902204
2025-12-14 3.105909 6.033636 10.666415 18.153363 29.498927 45.535447 69.289191
2025-12-21 2.827280 5.714461 10.412542 18.178303 30.170375 47.386676 73.231768
2025-12-28 2.658415 5.571445 10.433279 18.634256 31.512840 50.258162 78.731924
2026-01-04 2.474124 5.381158 10.359555 18.930171 32.616723 52.811922 83.846382
2026-01-11 2.272280 5.135782 10.171196 19.021863 33.396937 54.900646 88.331200
2026-01-18 1.998864 4.722525 9.659228 18.542673 33.247585 55.582918 90.755049
2026-01-25 1.776576 4.382559 9.246067 18.196419 33.280819 56.523517 93.566319
2026-02-01 1.574436 4.058451 8.833067 17.818873 33.234824 57.325542 96.172783
2026-02-08 1.400821 3.772344 8.465182 17.492181 33.247546 58.204314 98.901644
2026-02-15 1.222229 3.451360 8.002398 16.962385 32.886976 58.471939 100.683478
2026-02-22 1.130579 3.315831 7.888939 17.057733 33.584764 60.430020 105.120092
2026-03-01 1.042859 3.178313 7.759671 17.113162 34.210037 62.282011 109.427289
2026-03-08 0.973899 3.077493 7.696549 17.286893 35.043362 64.487775 114.336622